EQUITY RESEARCH MEMO

Race Oncology (RAC.AX)

Generated 5/3/2026

Executive Summary

Conviction (model self-assessment)65/100

Race Oncology (RAC.AX) is an Australian clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advancing bisantrene, a novel small molecule that silences the MYC oncogene while providing cardioprotection. The company's lead asset, RC220, is a reformulated bisantrene with extended patent protection (20 years), currently in a Phase 1 trial (NCT06815575) combining RC220 with doxorubicin in advanced solid tumors, recruiting since April 2025. Race also has a completed Phase 2 trial (NCT03820908) of bisantrene in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and a withdrawn Phase 1 (NCT05456269). The company's valuation is approximately A$487 million, with ~184 million shares outstanding. Key differentiators include MYC inhibition (a challenging target) and potential cardioprotection, which could reduce doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity. Near-term catalysts include initial safety/efficacy data from the Phase 1 RC220 trial, potential advancement of bisantrene into Phase 3 AML trials, and possible partnership or licensing discussions for RC220. However, as a public micro-cap biotech, risk includes limited cash runway and early-stage data uncertainty.

Upcoming Catalysts (preview)

  • Q2 2027Phase 1 RC220 + Doxorubicin interim safety and early efficacy data70% success
  • Q4 2026Initiation of a Phase 3 trial for bisantrene in acute myeloid leukemia50% success
  • Q1 2027Strategic partnership or licensing deal for RC220 or bisantrene40% success
Locked sections
  • · Pipeline Analysis
  • · Competitive Landscape
  • · Catalyst Calendar (full 12-month)
  • · Bull Case
  • · Bear Case
  • · Counterfactual Scenarios
  • · Valuation Notes
  • · SEC Filing Highlights
  • · Insider Activity
  • · Literature Watch
  • · Patent Landscape
  • · Mechanism Cluster Map
  • · Audio Briefing (5 min)